player_1676299122 Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Shiv - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Calico - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Apollo - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Silver - Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

The Doorman - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Pocket - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Mina - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Lash - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

No clear path heroes

Every modeled hero has a usable item-timing path.

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Shiv Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 5,120 (36% win rate across 25 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was more than 5,120 (68% win rate across 25 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Close Quarters by 15:00 - 37% good-game rate across 23 matches.

Had Close Quarters by 15:00 - 66% good-game rate across 27 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Battle Vest	67%	15 purchases	12:33
Restorative Shot	64%	22 purchases	1:03
Point Blank	64%	30 purchases	15:11
Transcendent Cooldown	63%	12 purchases	33:27
Close Quarters	61%	36 purchases	11:39

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Compress Cooldown	33%	13 purchases	25:44
Extra Charge	37%	14 purchases	6:47
Improved Spirit	40%	37 purchases	20:55
Extra Regen	44%	17 purchases	1:03
Dispel Magic	45%	36 purchases	21:53

Enemy hero matchup

Calico Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 92

Main loss pattern: Did not have Torment Pulse by 20:00 (38% win rate across 23 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Had Torment Pulse by 20:00; Spirit item spend by 20:00 was more than 16,320 (86% win rate across 20 matches)

Replay comparison

Spirit item spend by 20:00 was at most 11,360 - 28% good-game rate across 32 matches.

Spirit item spend by 20:00 was more than 11,360; Tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 10:00 was 2 or less - 84% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Ethereal Shift	80%	21 purchases	30:45
Enchanter's Emblem	78%	19 purchases	18:11
Healing Rite	70%	38 purchases	1:07
Mystic Vulnerability	69%	54 purchases	25:59
Reactive Barrier	68%	25 purchases	13:49

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Close Quarters	43%	32 purchases	6:34
Silence Wave	45%	40 purchases	11:26
Melee Lifesteal	50%	62 purchases	1:00
Tankbuster	51%	35 purchases	28:24
Boundless Spirit	55%	39 purchases	28:06

Apollo Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 83

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 15:00 was at most 13,120 (38% win rate across 24 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 15:00 was more than 13,120; did not have Spirit Lifesteal by 10:00 (79% win rate across 35 matches)

Replay comparison

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 3 or less; Vitality item count by 20:00 was 4 or less - 18% good-game rate across 28 matches.

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 3 or less; Vitality item count by 20:00 was more than 4 - 52% good-game rate across 18 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Resilience	81%	15 purchases	28:33
Spirit Burn	80%	22 purchases	27:33
Slowing Hex	79%	10 purchases	7:28
Mystic Reverb	78%	32 purchases	28:41
Extra Health	75%	15 purchases	10:44

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Close Quarters	45%	16 purchases	3:56
Mystic Vulnerability	47%	30 purchases	8:03
Counterspell	50%	18 purchases	16:58
Spirit Shredder Bullets	52%	24 purchases	12:56
Warp Stone	55%	52 purchases	14:28

Silver Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 123

Main loss pattern: Did not have Extra Health by 15:00; had Silence Wave by 15:00; Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 7,360 (34% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Better pattern: Had Extra Health by 15:00 (93% win rate across 30 matches)

Replay comparison

Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 7,520; Tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 4 or less - 14% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 7,520; Tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 20:00 was more than 4 - 32% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Arctic Blast	92%	23 purchases	30:29
Fortitude	92%	25 purchases	10:01
Diviner's Kevlar	91%	11 purchases	25:21
Extra Health	87%	42 purchases	6:38
Transcendent Cooldown	86%	15 purchases	34:28

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Counterspell	47%	17 purchases	17:22
Compress Cooldown	50%	24 purchases	26:37
Mystic Shot	51%	12 purchases	13:01
Metal Skin	51%	11 purchases	24:42
Enchanter's Emblem	55%	16 purchases	12:59

The Doorman Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 59

Main loss pattern: Had Healing Rite by 10:00 (31% win rate across 19 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Did not have Healing Rite by 10:00; had Extra Spirit by 15:00 (73% win rate across 22 matches)

Replay comparison

Vitality item count by 20:00 was 3 or less - 67% good-game rate across 27 matches.

Vitality item count by 20:00 was more than 3 - 34% good-game rate across 32 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cheat Death	81%	11 purchases	32:55
Transcendent Cooldown	77%	17 purchases	32:20
Mystic Shot	68%	22 purchases	7:28
Spirit Burn	68%	15 purchases	29:17
Divine Barrier	67%	10 purchases	29:43

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	26%	19 purchases	14:36
Healing Rite	31%	19 purchases	3:48
Silence Wave	38%	11 purchases	25:48
Slowing Hex	44%	28 purchases	21:41
Healbane	47%	10 purchases	14:11

Pocket Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 99

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 24,640; Spirit item count by 20:00 was more than 4 (38% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 24,640; Spirit item count by 10:00 was more than 3; had 0 tier3 items by 10:00 (95% win rate)

Replay comparison

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 5 or less; Tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 15:00 was 4 or less - 55% good-game rate across 33 matches.

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 5 or less; Tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 15:00 was more than 4; Did not have Rapid Rounds by 20:00 - 42% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Diviner's Kevlar	90%	20 purchases	31:09
Reactive Barrier	86%	14 purchases	13:13
Restorative Locket	85%	20 purchases	10:11
Spellslinger	83%	11 purchases	34:53
Extra Health	82%	19 purchases	15:57

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Silence Wave	50%	10 purchases	18:56
Cheat Death	57%	12 purchases	29:28
Duration Extender	60%	25 purchases	20:51
Rapid Rounds	60%	60 purchases	9:05
Improved Spirit	64%	44 purchases	6:59

Mina Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 131

Main loss pattern: Did not have Restorative Locket by 20:00; Weapon item spend by 15:00 was at most 2,560 (35% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Did not have Restorative Locket by 20:00; Weapon item spend by 15:00 was more than 2,560; tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 10:00 was more than 3; Vitality item count by 15:00 was more than 3 (88% win rate across 23 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 26,080; Did not have Mystic Shot by 20:00; Vitality item spend by 15:00 was at most 4,000 - 10% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 26,080; Did not have Mystic Shot by 20:00; Vitality item spend by 15:00 was more than 4,000 - 40% good-game rate across 25 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Restorative Locket	87%	23 purchases	8:33
Mystic Shot	76%	44 purchases	9:42
Metal Skin	76%	20 purchases	26:03
Greater Expansion	76%	13 purchases	26:49
Mystic Expansion	76%	33 purchases	7:09

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Reactive Barrier	52%	27 purchases	15:20
Debuff Reducer	60%	38 purchases	13:31
Crippling Headshot	60%	16 purchases	29:59
Swift Striker	62%	77 purchases	9:33
Headhunter	62%	13 purchases	11:46

Lash Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 56

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 15:00 was more than 13,760; Spirit item count by 20:00 was 6 or less (41% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 15:00 was at most 13,760 (82% win rate across 19 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 22,240 - 34% good-game rate across 29 matches.

Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 22,240 - 69% good-game rate across 27 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Unstoppable	74%	19 purchases	31:04
Spirit Burn	73%	20 purchases	25:57
Mystic Expansion	72%	22 purchases	24:02
Healbane	71%	37 purchases	11:42
Boundless Spirit	71%	38 purchases	24:30

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Dispel Magic	34%	12 purchases	25:32
Restorative Locket	45%	14 purchases	11:14
Enchanter's Emblem	49%	23 purchases	14:07
Greater Expansion	56%	24 purchases	28:14
Extra Stamina	63%	49 purchases	10:31

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.