Zerggy Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Venator - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Warden - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Haze - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Mina - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Seven - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Drifter - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Silver - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Wraith - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

No clear path heroes

No clear item-timing split showed up for these heroes yet, so review item timing and replay context first.

Lady Geist, Lash, Apollo, Celeste, Paradox, Vyper

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Venator Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Weapon item count by 10:00 was more than 3 (28% win rate across 21 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Weapon item count by 10:00 was 3 or less (58% win rate across 29 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Weighted Shots by 20:00 - 38% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Had Weighted Shots by 20:00 - 65% good-game rate across 26 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Glass Cannon	64%	14 purchases	24:55
Counterspell	57%	17 purchases	22:15
Silencer	56%	30 purchases	25:50
Armor Piercing Rounds	54%	9 purchases	33:41
Spirit Resilience	50%	12 purchases	21:35

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Inhibitor	8%	12 purchases	26:30
Restorative Shot	22%	9 purchases	1:00
Vampiric Burst	30%	16 purchases	28:51
Extra Charge	39%	28 purchases	13:57
Rapid Recharge	40%	27 purchases	23:18

Enemy hero matchup

Warden Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 23,040 (39% win rate across 28 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 23,040 (86% win rate across 22 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Intensifying Magazine by 15:00 - 33% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Had Intensifying Magazine by 15:00 - 76% good-game rate across 26 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cultist Sacrifice	79%	21 purchases	9:05
Extra Health	78%	18 purchases	13:29
Vampiric Burst	71%	17 purchases	29:25
Fortitude	70%	20 purchases	13:50
Extra Spirit	70%	25 purchases	10:43

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Sprint Boots	46%	29 purchases	10:43
Bullet Lifesteal	52%	30 purchases	18:00
Quicksilver Reload	53%	30 purchases	5:59
Spellslinger	53%	29 purchases	24:38
Surge of Power	55%	39 purchases	14:01

Enemy hero matchup

Haze Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Did not have Slowing Hex by 15:00 (37% win rate across 25 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Had Slowing Hex by 15:00 (72% win rate across 25 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 15:00 was at most 14,720 - 33% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Item total spend by 15:00 was more than 14,720 - 64% good-game rate across 31 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	72%	16 purchases	17:47
Warp Stone	71%	13 purchases	23:01
Counterspell	70%	16 purchases	23:14
Stamina Mastery	65%	23 purchases	22:03
Slowing Bullets	64%	21 purchases	14:31

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cursed Relic	38%	18 purchases	29:48
Enduring Speed	39%	11 purchases	18:19
Tesla Bullets	47%	25 purchases	20:39
Ricochet	48%	17 purchases	28:04
Bullet Resist Shredder	49%	11 purchases	15:54

Enemy hero matchup

Mina Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was 3 or less (43% win rate across 26 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was more than 3 (64% win rate across 24 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 10:00 was at most 9,280 - 38% good-game rate across 31 matches.

Item total spend by 10:00 was more than 9,280 - 74% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Arctic Blast	60%	16 purchases	29:03
Ethereal Shift	60%	13 purchases	25:51
Restorative Locket	58%	12 purchases	8:59
Superior Cooldown	58%	35 purchases	23:32
Spirit Burn	57%	35 purchases	23:45

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Rend	31%	10 purchases	28:50
Quicksilver Reload	47%	35 purchases	5:22
Toxic Bullets	48%	32 purchases	12:25
Spirit Shredder Bullets	48%	16 purchases	23:07
Compress Cooldown	52%	33 purchases	18:07

Enemy hero matchup

Seven Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Did not have Extra Spirit by 10:00 (34% win rate across 27 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Had Extra Spirit by 10:00 (72% win rate across 23 matches)

Replay comparison

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 15:00 was 2 or less - 35% good-game rate across 31 matches.

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 15:00 was more than 2 - 76% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Escalating Exposure	71%	18 purchases	24:01
Mystic Vulnerability	63%	11 purchases	20:22
Superior Duration	62%	21 purchases	25:39
Enduring Speed	60%	24 purchases	14:51
Intensifying Magazine	59%	27 purchases	6:02

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Battle Vest	44%	29 purchases	4:59
Sprint Boots	44%	13 purchases	13:42
Headshot Booster	48%	23 purchases	1:02
Metal Skin	49%	15 purchases	21:33
Hollow Point	50%	40 purchases	13:40

Enemy hero matchup

Drifter Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 21,760 (40% win rate across 26 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 21,760 (87% win rate across 24 matches)

Replay comparison

Vitality item spend by 20:00 was at most 7,520 - 35% good-game rate across 30 matches.

Vitality item spend by 20:00 was more than 7,520 - 81% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Juggernaut	88%	18 purchases	31:03
Crippling Headshot	81%	16 purchases	30:05
Healing Rite	80%	25 purchases	3:52
Enduring Speed	75%	35 purchases	15:25
Close Quarters	72%	40 purchases	1:05

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Slowing Bullets	56%	9 purchases	9:25
Duration Extender	59%	33 purchases	19:58
Superior Duration	60%	45 purchases	22:26
Bullet Resist Shredder	61%	33 purchases	9:07
Extra Stamina	61%	34 purchases	11:18

Enemy hero matchup

Silver Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 15:00 was at most 14,560 (34% win rate across 19 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 15:00 was more than 14,560 (66% win rate across 31 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Phantom Strike	67%	21 purchases	25:48
Unstoppable	65%	14 purchases	28:29
Lifestrike	63%	42 purchases	8:50
Debuff Reducer	62%	20 purchases	24:06
High-Velocity Rounds	62%	23 purchases	12:28

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Restorative Locket	34%	12 purchases	6:13
Bullet Resilience	40%	25 purchases	23:43
Slowing Hex	40%	18 purchases	15:17
Counterspell	45%	20 purchases	24:37
Dispel Magic	46%	23 purchases	19:00

Enemy hero matchup

Wraith Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Had Capacitor by 20:00 (28% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Did not have Capacitor by 20:00 (79% win rate across 32 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 26,720 - 40% good-game rate across 32 matches.

Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 26,720 - 71% good-game rate across 18 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Resilience	96%	16 purchases	24:34
Golden Goose Egg	92%	13 purchases	13:33
Blood Tribute	83%	13 purchases	26:18
Reactive Barrier	79%	18 purchases	17:55
Boundless Spirit	78%	32 purchases	24:47

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Tesla Bullets	33%	19 purchases	14:10
Capacitor	37%	20 purchases	18:06
Enduring Speed	39%	22 purchases	17:05
Cultist Sacrifice	40%	13 purchases	9:59
Rapid Rounds	44%	19 purchases	9:18

Enemy hero matchup

Infernus Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Win pattern: Had Superior Duration by 20:00 (84% win rate across 30 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Healbane by 10:00 - 71% good-game rate across 23 matches.

Had Healbane by 10:00 - 36% good-game rate across 27 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Blood Tribute	92%	11 purchases	23:13
Toxic Bullets	81%	36 purchases	14:05
Extra Regen	79%	24 purchases	2:58
Spirit Resilience	79%	37 purchases	22:55
Escalating Resilience	79%	32 purchases	24:27

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Leech	68%	16 purchases	33:16
Enchanter's Emblem	70%	16 purchases	7:52
Silence Wave	70%	10 purchases	11:28
Ricochet	72%	18 purchases	30:50
Counterspell	73%	30 purchases	23:44

Enemy hero matchup

Mirage Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 36

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Win pattern: Had Dispel Magic by 20:00 (73% win rate across 18 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Dispel Magic by 20:00 - 49% good-game rate across 18 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Ethereal Shift	90%	10 purchases	32:17
Mystic Vulnerability	85%	20 purchases	14:39
Spirit Shredder Bullets	85%	20 purchases	12:57
Arcane Surge	85%	20 purchases	4:08
Transcendent Cooldown	83%	16 purchases	29:15

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Quicksilver Reload	30%	15 purchases	5:13
Ricochet	44%	15 purchases	28:22
Extra Spirit	58%	22 purchases	1:50
Improved Spirit	67%	24 purchases	6:58
Superior Cooldown	68%	25 purchases	22:29

Enemy hero matchup

These heroes did not produce a clean item-timing split, so use their item lists as softer replay notes.

Lady Geist Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 27

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Sprint Boots	51%	11 purchases	13:22
Extra Regen	45%	26 purchases	2:30
Healing Booster	44%	26 purchases	10:12
Spellslinger	42%	22 purchases	22:50
Radiant Regeneration	42%	27 purchases	7:17

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	36%	14 purchases	4:47
Enduring Speed	38%	17 purchases	14:55
Warp Stone	39%	22 purchases	19:28
Arcane Surge	40%	15 purchases	8:07
Mystic Regeneration	40%	26 purchases	4:19

Enemy hero matchup

Lash Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 31

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Recharging Rush	58%	10 purchases	9:18
Siphon Bullets	55%	11 purchases	19:14
Extra Stamina	54%	22 purchases	12:51
Headshot Booster	51%	24 purchases	1:46
Headhunter	51%	26 purchases	10:18

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Rapid Recharge	30%	11 purchases	29:46
Mystic Shot	38%	19 purchases	10:22
Tankbuster	45%	25 purchases	19:33
Mystic Burst	45%	30 purchases	3:38
Extra Charge	45%	28 purchases	7:26

Enemy hero matchup

Apollo Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 20

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Improved Spirit	55%	21 purchases	7:04
Extra Spirit	55%	21 purchases	3:02
Mystic Burst	54%	23 purchases	1:05
Greater Expansion	54%	17 purchases	26:07
Spirit Lifesteal	54%	13 purchases	13:23

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Torment Pulse	44%	16 purchases	13:50
Extra Stamina	46%	16 purchases	12:36
Healbane	47%	16 purchases	10:33
Mystic Expansion	48%	18 purchases	6:58
Warp Stone	52%	14 purchases	12:32

Enemy hero matchup

Celeste Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 20

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spellslinger	80%	10 purchases	25:33
High-Velocity Rounds	78%	9 purchases	2:26
Healbane	78%	9 purchases	12:11
Extra Spirit	70%	20 purchases	1:09
Mystic Expansion	69%	19 purchases	10:26

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	59%	17 purchases	7:00
Improved Spirit	64%	19 purchases	14:29
Mystic Slow	64%	11 purchases	6:32
Escalating Exposure	65%	14 purchases	24:00
Greater Expansion	65%	17 purchases	22:49

Enemy hero matchup

Paradox Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 27

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	84%	17 purchases	10:30
Stamina Mastery	82%	16 purchases	19:21
Slowing Hex	80%	18 purchases	10:45
Healing Rite	74%	15 purchases	3:48
Headshot Booster	72%	24 purchases	1:04

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cultist Sacrifice	57%	17 purchases	9:15
Long Range	62%	14 purchases	5:28
Weakening Headshot	64%	19 purchases	20:03
Monster Rounds	64%	20 purchases	5:27
Extra Health	65%	19 purchases	10:38

Enemy hero matchup

Vyper Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 22

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Vampiric Burst	97%	15 purchases	23:12
Debuff Reducer	95%	10 purchases	25:26
Extra Stamina	93%	15 purchases	11:38
Rapid Rounds	91%	18 purchases	8:35
Stamina Mastery	89%	19 purchases	14:07

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Health	80%	13 purchases	8:16
Extra Spirit	82%	19 purchases	3:03
High-Velocity Rounds	84%	13 purchases	4:34
Burst Fire	85%	22 purchases	10:49
Close Quarters	85%	22 purchases	1:04

Enemy hero matchup

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.