lystic Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Yamato - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Bebop - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Lash - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Drifter - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Silver - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Venator - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Dynamo - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Abrams - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Billy - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

No clear path heroes

No clear item-timing split showed up for these heroes yet, so review item timing and replay context first.

Apollo, Sinclair, Paradox, Grey Talon, Lady Geist, Mcginnis, Victor

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Yamato Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Vitality item spend by 20:00 was at most 5,920 (34% win rate across 32 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Vitality item spend by 20:00 was more than 5,920 (77% win rate across 18 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 19,840 - 29% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 19,840 - 66% good-game rate across 30 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mystic Reverb	72%	12 purchases	30:48
Extra Regen	71%	14 purchases	1:24
Transcendent Cooldown	64%	20 purchases	29:32
Spirit Rend	56%	14 purchases	29:34
Boundless Spirit	56%	35 purchases	23:58

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mystic Vulnerability	44%	29 purchases	22:35
Spirit Snatch	47%	44 purchases	21:05
Stalker	48%	45 purchases	7:18
Restorative Shot	48%	10 purchases	1:28
Dispel Magic	49%	32 purchases	17:27

Enemy hero matchup

Bebop Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 3 or less (42% win rate across 26 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was more than 3 (75% win rate across 24 matches)

Replay comparison

Weapon item count by 20:00 was 5 or less - 34% good-game rate across 30 matches.

Weapon item count by 20:00 was more than 5 - 75% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spellslinger	78%	14 purchases	27:55
Spirit Resilience	76%	21 purchases	24:39
Berserker	71%	31 purchases	24:19
Inhibitor	70%	10 purchases	25:59
Weighted Shots	69%	32 purchases	26:03

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Stalker	50%	12 purchases	7:27
Rapid Rounds	54%	24 purchases	15:03
Headshot Booster	56%	46 purchases	1:04
Extra Health	57%	44 purchases	9:26
Hunter's Aura	57%	47 purchases	17:22

Enemy hero matchup

Lash Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Spirit item count by 15:00 was more than 4 (34% win rate across 30 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Spirit item count by 15:00 was 4 or less (77% win rate across 20 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Extra Charge by 20:00 - 69% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Had Extra Charge by 20:00 - 37% good-game rate across 31 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Dispel Magic	65%	24 purchases	23:40
Crippling Headshot	64%	25 purchases	22:20
Recharging Rush	63%	28 purchases	8:35
Superior Cooldown	63%	24 purchases	25:16
Greater Expansion	62%	21 purchases	28:19

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mystic Shot	21%	15 purchases	12:23
Enchanter's Emblem	29%	17 purchases	12:05
Extra Charge	34%	31 purchases	9:32
Tankbuster	40%	31 purchases	22:19
Extra Spirit	42%	39 purchases	4:40

Enemy hero matchup

Drifter Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Did not have Spirit Strike by 15:00 (41% win rate across 27 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Had Spirit Strike by 15:00 (91% win rate across 23 matches)

Replay comparison

Vitality item count by 20:00 was 4 or less - 31% good-game rate across 31 matches.

Vitality item count by 20:00 was more than 4 - 83% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Snatch	95%	20 purchases	13:29
Lifestrike	94%	17 purchases	5:19
Spirit Strike	92%	24 purchases	5:36
Counterspell	78%	19 purchases	19:23
Melee Lifesteal	76%	30 purchases	1:03

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Dispel Magic	45%	15 purchases	17:12
Silence Wave	46%	13 purchases	14:35
Arcane Surge	50%	18 purchases	11:09
Healbane	54%	23 purchases	12:28
Battle Vest	55%	14 purchases	9:15

Enemy hero matchup

Silver Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Weapon item spend by 10:00 was at most 3,680 (33% win rate across 26 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Weapon item spend by 10:00 was more than 3,680 (92% win rate across 24 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Inhibitor	85%	20 purchases	24:55
Phantom Strike	78%	14 purchases	27:43
Extra Health	72%	14 purchases	11:48
Express Shot	70%	26 purchases	10:20
Berserker	69%	27 purchases	24:59

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Dispel Magic	55%	11 purchases	23:46
Monster Rounds	55%	19 purchases	5:41
Weighted Shots	56%	11 purchases	24:04
Healing Booster	61%	27 purchases	9:50
Extra Regen	63%	39 purchases	4:07

Enemy hero matchup

Venator Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Did not have Warp Stone by 20:00 (29% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Had Warp Stone by 20:00 (69% win rate across 30 matches)

Replay comparison

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 4 or less - 28% good-game rate across 32 matches.

Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was more than 4 - 94% good-game rate across 18 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Rapid Recharge	77%	15 purchases	28:45
Spirit Resilience	74%	16 purchases	21:21
Echo Shard	73%	22 purchases	23:13
Mystic Expansion	63%	24 purchases	17:50
Greater Expansion	62%	37 purchases	22:51

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Restorative Shot	32%	15 purchases	1:05
Opening Rounds	38%	13 purchases	9:32
Lifestrike	50%	34 purchases	16:53
Close Quarters	51%	54 purchases	2:57
Cultist Sacrifice	51%	40 purchases	8:57

Enemy hero matchup

Dynamo Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 42

Main loss pattern: Vitality item count by 20:00 was 3 or less (30% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Vitality item count by 20:00 was more than 3 (68% win rate across 24 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Dispel Magic by 20:00 - 32% good-game rate across 23 matches.

Had Dispel Magic by 20:00 - 74% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Charge	69%	12 purchases	10:40
Extra Stamina	67%	18 purchases	12:46
Rapid Recharge	60%	15 purchases	17:05
Dispel Magic	60%	28 purchases	18:08
Greater Expansion	55%	33 purchases	21:48

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Superior Cooldown	40%	16 purchases	28:53
Mystic Reverb	45%	11 purchases	26:58
Monster Rounds	49%	20 purchases	1:06
Surge of Power	50%	23 purchases	17:52
Mystic Expansion	51%	37 purchases	9:48

Enemy hero matchup

Abrams Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 18,880 (46% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 18,880 (76% win rate across 30 matches)

Replay comparison

Tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 15:00 was 4 or less - 72% good-game rate across 29 matches.

Tier 1 (800 Souls) item count by 15:00 was more than 4 - 23% good-game rate across 21 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Improved Spirit	75%	23 purchases	24:06
Dispel Magic	72%	33 purchases	16:57
Restorative Shot	72%	11 purchases	0:58
Witchmail	70%	34 purchases	21:43
Counterspell	69%	23 purchases	20:47

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Monster Rounds	53%	19 purchases	2:38
Compress Cooldown	58%	29 purchases	20:29
Mystic Vulnerability	60%	20 purchases	11:48
Superior Cooldown	60%	23 purchases	27:10
Restorative Locket	60%	10 purchases	6:17

Enemy hero matchup

Billy Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Did not have Enduring Speed by 15:00 (48% win rate across 19 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Had Enduring Speed by 15:00 (75% win rate across 31 matches)

Replay comparison

Vitality item count by 15:00 was 3 or less - 27% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Vitality item count by 15:00 was more than 3 - 64% good-game rate across 30 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Melee Charge	92%	10 purchases	25:52
Colossus	83%	17 purchases	26:55
Extra Health	80%	15 purchases	10:58
Mystic Expansion	80%	14 purchases	24:06
Greater Expansion	77%	25 purchases	22:53

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Resilience	56%	21 purchases	21:13
Slowing Bullets	57%	9 purchases	8:38
Melee Lifesteal	59%	33 purchases	2:40
Torment Pulse	59%	27 purchases	17:04
Monster Rounds	60%	39 purchases	3:09

Enemy hero matchup

These heroes did not produce a clean item-timing split, so use their item lists as softer replay notes.

Apollo Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 20

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Compress Cooldown	54%	11 purchases	19:04
Counterspell	50%	12 purchases	15:40
Extra Stamina	47%	21 purchases	9:53
Mystic Expansion	47%	19 purchases	7:59
Tankbuster	47%	17 purchases	24:13

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Healbane	25%	12 purchases	9:12
Boundless Spirit	30%	10 purchases	23:35
Spirit Lifesteal	33%	12 purchases	12:44
Superior Cooldown	38%	13 purchases	20:57
Extra Spirit	40%	20 purchases	1:00

Enemy hero matchup

Sinclair Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 32

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Sprint Boots	54%	18 purchases	10:09
Enchanter's Emblem	54%	14 purchases	9:31
Superior Cooldown	51%	17 purchases	24:56
Greater Expansion	51%	24 purchases	20:55
Monster Rounds	46%	31 purchases	1:33

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Stalker	23%	13 purchases	5:38
Improved Spirit	29%	19 purchases	9:03
Cultist Sacrifice	37%	19 purchases	9:01
Long Range	40%	12 purchases	4:07
Counterspell	41%	14 purchases	24:15

Enemy hero matchup

Paradox Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 25

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	55%	22 purchases	12:46
Weakening Headshot	55%	17 purchases	19:09
Crippling Headshot	53%	20 purchases	23:20
Headhunter	53%	23 purchases	13:30
Headshot Booster	51%	24 purchases	1:07

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Monster Rounds	45%	23 purchases	7:08
Counterspell	45%	17 purchases	19:08
Stalker	48%	22 purchases	5:59
Hollow Point	49%	22 purchases	11:00
Stamina Mastery	51%	20 purchases	18:35

Enemy hero matchup

Grey Talon Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 26

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Recharging Rush	64%	22 purchases	17:56
Superior Cooldown	64%	18 purchases	26:11
Stamina Mastery	64%	21 purchases	20:49
Enchanter's Emblem	64%	19 purchases	10:38
Boundless Spirit	62%	22 purchases	24:34

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Spirit	45%	18 purchases	7:10
Surge of Power	48%	17 purchases	11:37
Compress Cooldown	54%	18 purchases	11:21
Counterspell	55%	13 purchases	20:10
Extra Stamina	56%	24 purchases	10:19

Enemy hero matchup

Lady Geist Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 25

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	86%	14 purchases	8:59
Healbane	78%	14 purchases	14:48
Fleetfoot	76%	12 purchases	22:36
Arcane Surge	76%	17 purchases	9:00
Radiant Regeneration	73%	25 purchases	7:34

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spellslinger	65%	16 purchases	24:43
Extra Regen	67%	15 purchases	2:36
Berserker	67%	21 purchases	17:46
Counterspell	67%	15 purchases	21:33
Spirit Resilience	68%	12 purchases	15:45

Enemy hero matchup

McGinnis Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 35

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Debuff Reducer	80%	20 purchases	18:33
Superior Duration	75%	24 purchases	24:52
Improved Spirit	74%	12 purchases	19:49
Boundless Spirit	74%	12 purchases	26:05
Unstoppable	74%	27 purchases	20:32

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Resilience	53%	15 purchases	16:59
Rapid Recharge	61%	26 purchases	10:32
Mystic Expansion	68%	34 purchases	8:57
Compress Cooldown	68%	31 purchases	14:19
Enchanter's Emblem	68%	25 purchases	10:34

Enemy hero matchup

Victor Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 30

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Improved Spirit	61%	17 purchases	13:48
Greater Expansion	58%	16 purchases	24:21
Extra Spirit	55%	30 purchases	1:10
Monster Rounds	54%	19 purchases	5:37
Extra Regen	54%	26 purchases	2:49

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Superior Cooldown	39%	18 purchases	15:34
Extra Charge	39%	26 purchases	5:47
Spirit Lifesteal	44%	18 purchases	12:41
Rapid Recharge	45%	23 purchases	18:23
Healing Booster	45%	25 purchases	8:34

Enemy hero matchup

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.