CRAYON_FPS Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Victor - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Shiv - High spend pattern: review whether the spend turned into the right spike or was scattered.

Billy - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Apollo - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Infernus - Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Mirage - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Yamato - Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Abrams - Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Vyper - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

No clear path heroes

No clear item-timing split showed up for these heroes yet, so review item timing and replay context first.

Warden, Haze, Dynamo, Ivy, Seven, Venator

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Victor Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Did not have Extra Spirit by 20:00 (33% win rate across 25 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Had Extra Spirit by 20:00 (71% win rate across 25 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Escalating Exposure	78%	18 purchases	24:50
Spirit Resilience	75%	16 purchases	25:02
Extra Spirit	72%	26 purchases	11:41
Kinetic Dash	70%	10 purchases	6:01
Greater Expansion	69%	14 purchases	17:53

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Return Fire	31%	16 purchases	18:16
Quicksilver Reload	32%	13 purchases	15:53
Fleetfoot	39%	16 purchases	21:38
Berserker	42%	29 purchases	9:29
Close Quarters	42%	26 purchases	2:48

Enemy hero matchup

Shiv Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 10:00 was more than 6,720 (38% win rate across 29 matches)

Review note: High spend pattern: review whether the spend turned into the right spike or was scattered.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 10:00 was at most 6,720 (66% win rate across 21 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Enchanter's Emblem by 10:00 - 40% good-game rate across 27 matches.

Had Enchanter's Emblem by 10:00 - 65% good-game rate across 23 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Boundless Spirit	63%	36 purchases	28:04
Spirit Resilience	61%	18 purchases	27:52
Cold Front	57%	14 purchases	6:07
Enchanter's Emblem	56%	41 purchases	9:46
Superior Cooldown	56%	41 purchases	26:22

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Golden Goose Egg	44%	33 purchases	0:59
Decay	45%	35 purchases	8:18
Rapid Recharge	48%	33 purchases	16:46
Compress Cooldown	50%	52 purchases	14:40
Dispel Magic	50%	50 purchases	17:17

Enemy hero matchup

Billy Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 3 or less (30% win rate across 23 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Tier 3 (3,200 Souls) item count by 20:00 was more than 3 (69% win rate across 27 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Battle Vest by 20:00 - 25% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Had Battle Vest by 20:00 - 76% good-game rate across 30 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extended Magazine	63%	17 purchases	23:50
Cultist Sacrifice	62%	16 purchases	7:31
Battle Vest	62%	32 purchases	11:06
Escalating Resilience	56%	24 purchases	23:52
Compress Cooldown	55%	9 purchases	23:06

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Bullet Resist Shredder	32%	16 purchases	13:02
Heroic Aura	33%	10 purchases	25:32
Spirit Snatch	36%	11 purchases	19:44
Stalker	38%	21 purchases	5:21
Slowing Bullets	41%	17 purchases	8:33

Enemy hero matchup

Apollo Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 40

Main loss pattern: Vitality item spend by 20:00 was at most 9,920 (18% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Vitality item spend by 20:00 was more than 9,920 (82% win rate across 22 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Escalating Exposure	70%	13 purchases	31:34
Warp Stone	63%	32 purchases	15:07
Boundless Spirit	60%	35 purchases	24:01
Mystic Vulnerability	57%	28 purchases	26:56
Dispel Magic	57%	30 purchases	22:11

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Spirit	50%	42 purchases	1:01
Spirit Lifesteal	51%	41 purchases	18:26
Superior Cooldown	51%	41 purchases	22:27
Mystic Expansion	51%	41 purchases	5:17
Cold Front	52%	40 purchases	4:00

Enemy hero matchup

Infernus Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was more than 4,960 (33% win rate across 25 matches)

Review note: Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Better pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 4,960 (73% win rate across 25 matches)

Replay comparison

Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was 4 or less - 16% good-game rate across 21 matches.

Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was more than 4 - 75% good-game rate across 29 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Infuser	77%	14 purchases	28:29
Mystic Shot	69%	10 purchases	12:43
Warp Stone	64%	32 purchases	20:40
Rapid Recharge	64%	29 purchases	13:32
Enchanter's Emblem	64%	12 purchases	10:57

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Toxic Bullets	27%	20 purchases	16:54
Enduring Speed	29%	19 purchases	11:16
Rapid Rounds	39%	18 purchases	10:23
Swift Striker	39%	18 purchases	17:04
Duration Extender	41%	35 purchases	5:06

Enemy hero matchup

Mirage Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 45

Main loss pattern: Weapon item count by 10:00 was 1 or less (38% win rate across 21 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Weapon item count by 10:00 was more than 1 (58% win rate across 24 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 20,800 - 33% good-game rate across 21 matches.

Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 20,800 - 67% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Siphon Bullets	61%	13 purchases	28:41
Echo Shard	61%	23 purchases	24:45
Headhunter	61%	13 purchases	15:27
Counterspell	60%	15 purchases	16:50
Spirit Lifesteal	60%	20 purchases	17:11

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Rend	44%	11 purchases	28:14
Toxic Bullets	44%	29 purchases	15:36
Monster Rounds	44%	15 purchases	7:11
Quicksilver Reload	46%	16 purchases	4:40
Dispel Magic	46%	33 purchases	14:17

Enemy hero matchup

Yamato Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 40

Main loss pattern: Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was 3 or less (20% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Better pattern: Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was more than 3 (58% win rate across 20 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 20,160 - 29% good-game rate across 19 matches.

Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 20,160 - 75% good-game rate across 21 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Boundless Spirit	82%	14 purchases	22:43
Spirit Snatch	72%	13 purchases	20:43
Melee Lifesteal	72%	11 purchases	1:10
Silence Wave	69%	10 purchases	14:30
Spirit Strike	66%	13 purchases	4:53

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Restorative Shot	25%	27 purchases	1:08
Mystic Burst	27%	21 purchases	9:03
Cultist Sacrifice	29%	21 purchases	9:14
Tankbuster	31%	18 purchases	19:56
Monster Rounds	33%	22 purchases	5:54

Enemy hero matchup

Abrams Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Weapon item spend by 10:00 was more than 6,080 (35% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Better pattern: Weapon item spend by 10:00 was at most 6,080 (69% win rate across 30 matches)

Replay comparison

Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 10:00 was 2 or less - 35% good-game rate across 26 matches.

Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 10:00 was more than 2 - 66% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Compress Cooldown	84%	12 purchases	12:12
Extra Spirit	79%	14 purchases	5:36
Witchmail	76%	12 purchases	24:50
Improved Spirit	75%	12 purchases	7:35
Arcane Surge	74%	14 purchases	4:51

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cultist Sacrifice	38%	16 purchases	8:30
Monster Rounds	45%	18 purchases	3:52
Battle Vest	47%	34 purchases	9:34
Bullet Lifesteal	47%	26 purchases	11:21
Fleetfoot	47%	26 purchases	11:00

Enemy hero matchup

Vyper Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 8,320 (39% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was more than 8,320 (67% win rate across 32 matches)

Replay comparison

Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 10,080 - 16% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Weapon item spend by 20:00 was more than 10,080 - 71% good-game rate across 30 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Leech	85%	14 purchases	32:07
Crippling Headshot	83%	16 purchases	28:47
Siphon Bullets	79%	10 purchases	27:37
Mercurial Magnum	74%	12 purchases	25:13
Weakening Headshot	74%	19 purchases	25:59

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Debuff Reducer	47%	16 purchases	27:44
Dispel Magic	48%	18 purchases	23:12
Extra Charge	49%	26 purchases	1:03
Surge of Power	50%	33 purchases	6:53
Mystic Burst	51%	27 purchases	4:27

Enemy hero matchup

These heroes did not produce a clean item-timing split, so use their item lists as softer replay notes.

Warden Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 32

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Vampiric Burst	67%	19 purchases	27:15
Sprint Boots	51%	29 purchases	12:57
Bullet Lifesteal	51%	27 purchases	14:01
Monster Rounds	50%	28 purchases	4:15
Spirit Resilience	50%	19 purchases	25:21

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cultist Sacrifice	38%	21 purchases	7:57
Extra Stamina	40%	19 purchases	7:57
Kinetic Dash	42%	18 purchases	8:35
Fleetfoot	42%	26 purchases	11:12
Glass Cannon	42%	19 purchases	20:25

Enemy hero matchup

Haze Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 21

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Burst Fire	33%	15 purchases	20:27
Swift Striker	33%	19 purchases	12:31
Surge of Power	33%	19 purchases	7:41
Bullet Lifesteal	31%	20 purchases	11:51
Active Reload	31%	17 purchases	3:57

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Rapid Rounds	22%	19 purchases	8:35
Fury Trance	30%	18 purchases	14:32
Slowing Hex	30%	16 purchases	9:17
Extra Spirit	30%	20 purchases	1:06
Bullet Lifesteal	31%	20 purchases	11:51

Enemy hero matchup

Dynamo Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 24

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Healbane	75%	16 purchases	14:31
Rapid Recharge	74%	20 purchases	15:58
Sprint Boots	73%	19 purchases	11:29
Battle Vest	70%	16 purchases	10:25
Extra Charge	69%	24 purchases	2:48

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Recharging Rush	62%	11 purchases	12:37
Kinetic Dash	64%	16 purchases	6:05
Bullet Resist Shredder	66%	17 purchases	16:56
Fleetfoot	66%	17 purchases	16:15
Enduring Speed	66%	23 purchases	12:10

Enemy hero matchup

Ivy Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 25

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Resilience	80%	11 purchases	27:16
Extended Magazine	75%	12 purchases	7:20
Titanic Magazine	73%	11 purchases	17:13
Capacitor	73%	15 purchases	26:10
Weakening Headshot	70%	14 purchases	27:35

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Healbane	59%	15 purchases	19:15
Extra Stamina	63%	14 purchases	12:12
Healing Rite	63%	19 purchases	3:33
Extra Charge	63%	17 purchases	8:47
Healing Nova	65%	20 purchases	11:43

Enemy hero matchup

Seven Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 32

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Sprint Boots	72%	21 purchases	13:09
Toxic Bullets	71%	20 purchases	19:06
Improved Spirit	68%	15 purchases	22:43
Surge of Power	67%	16 purchases	13:21
Duration Extender	64%	16 purchases	11:04

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Fleetfoot	50%	16 purchases	15:41
Healbane	50%	16 purchases	8:17
Intensifying Magazine	51%	23 purchases	7:01
Spirit Lifesteal	56%	20 purchases	14:33
Enduring Speed	59%	26 purchases	13:42

Enemy hero matchup

Venator Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 34

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Recharging Rush	69%	11 purchases	14:34
Cultist Sacrifice	67%	10 purchases	7:47
Slowing Bullets	61%	27 purchases	3:57
Inhibitor	60%	22 purchases	23:21
Monster Rounds	59%	13 purchases	4:26

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Restorative Shot	50%	31 purchases	0:58
Hollow Point	52%	25 purchases	17:26
Debuff Reducer	52%	13 purchases	26:23
Spirit Resilience	54%	24 purchases	26:19
Active Reload	54%	22 purchases	6:19

Enemy hero matchup

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.