Deathy Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Shiv - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Graves - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Ivy - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Lash - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Calico - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Infernus - Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Rem - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

No clear path heroes

Every modeled hero has a usable item-timing path.

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Shiv Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 23

Main loss pattern: Vitality item count by 10:00 was 2 or less (26% win rate across 26 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Vitality item count by 10:00 was more than 2 (65% win rate across 25 matches)

Replay comparison

Spirit item count by 10:00 was 2 or less - 33% good-game rate across 31 matches.

Spirit item count by 10:00 was more than 2 - 76% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Silence Wave	69%	17 purchases	18:36
Veil Walker	64%	19 purchases	11:30
Spirit Strike	58%	34 purchases	12:16
Spirit Sap	57%	19 purchases	11:25
Mystic Shot	57%	38 purchases	4:47

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Superior Cooldown	12%	9 purchases	24:18
Boundless Spirit	14%	12 purchases	27:22
Torment Pulse	24%	12 purchases	14:29
Spirit Resilience	25%	11 purchases	23:10
Restorative Shot	25%	11 purchases	1:16

Enemy hero matchup

Graves Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was at most 8,160 (48% win rate across 31 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Weapon item spend by 20:00 was more than 8,160 (79% win rate across 19 matches)

Replay comparison

Vitality item spend by 20:00 was at most 6,080 - 36% good-game rate across 27 matches.

Vitality item spend by 20:00 was more than 6,080 - 68% good-game rate across 23 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Heroic Aura	76%	12 purchases	19:47
Echo Shard	73%	11 purchases	24:06
Arcane Surge	72%	11 purchases	12:31
Extra Regen	71%	11 purchases	2:02
Recharging Rush	70%	20 purchases	9:18

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Dispel Magic	28%	10 purchases	25:44
Warp Stone	31%	13 purchases	31:04
Superior Cooldown	44%	16 purchases	28:22
Extended Magazine	47%	11 purchases	22:27
Ricochet	48%	16 purchases	30:08

Enemy hero matchup

Ivy Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 18,720 (28% win rate across 21 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 18,720 (72% win rate across 29 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Bullet Resist Shredder	65%	17 purchases	20:28
Duration Extender	64%	19 purchases	23:42
Superior Duration	62%	40 purchases	26:41
Cursed Relic	59%	12 purchases	28:04
Vortex Web	57%	43 purchases	23:05

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Headshot Booster	49%	37 purchases	5:31
Headhunter	51%	39 purchases	9:54
Slowing Hex	53%	49 purchases	14:40
Extended Magazine	53%	45 purchases	1:06
Mystic Expansion	53%	43 purchases	18:30

Enemy hero matchup

Lash Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Spirit item spend by 10:00 was at most 4,800 (41% win rate across 21 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Spirit item spend by 10:00 was more than 4,800 (76% win rate across 29 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 15:00 was at most 14,720 - 41% good-game rate across 29 matches.

Item total spend by 15:00 was more than 14,720 - 66% good-game rate across 21 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Transcendent Cooldown	75%	25 purchases	25:08
Mercurial Magnum	70%	10 purchases	31:22
Siphon Bullets	69%	30 purchases	18:56
Extra Stamina	67%	41 purchases	10:25
Superior Cooldown	66%	15 purchases	23:10

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Trophy Collector	45%	15 purchases	7:23
Boundless Spirit	45%	13 purchases	30:05
Sprint Boots	46%	15 purchases	7:04
Mystic Expansion	50%	11 purchases	21:16
Tankbuster	55%	41 purchases	21:27

Enemy hero matchup

Calico Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 21,920 (33% win rate across 22 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 21,920 (72% win rate across 28 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Glass Cannon	70%	14 purchases	18:19
Melee Lifesteal	70%	13 purchases	1:14
Monster Rounds	69%	22 purchases	2:37
Rapid Rounds	66%	20 purchases	11:56
Extra Stamina	65%	23 purchases	4:57

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mystic Burst	35%	17 purchases	6:58
Improved Spirit	40%	20 purchases	12:08
Extra Spirit	41%	17 purchases	1:07
Arctic Blast	43%	21 purchases	19:17
Spirit Snatch	45%	20 purchases	19:09

Enemy hero matchup

Infernus Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 49

Main loss pattern: Weapon item spend by 15:00 was more than 2,880 (29% win rate across 22 matches)

Review note: Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Better pattern: Weapon item spend by 15:00 was at most 2,880 (58% win rate across 28 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Healing Rite by 10:00 - 70% good-game rate across 26 matches.

Had Healing Rite by 10:00 - 32% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Rapid Recharge	53%	31 purchases	15:08
Superior Duration	50%	37 purchases	18:40
Extra Charge	49%	27 purchases	12:38
Escalating Exposure	49%	18 purchases	30:11
Healing Rite	49%	26 purchases	3:46

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Stamina	36%	24 purchases	4:45
Kinetic Dash	37%	29 purchases	14:11
Spirit Shredder Bullets	37%	21 purchases	11:29
Toxic Bullets	37%	28 purchases	16:28
Arcane Surge	38%	28 purchases	6:01

Enemy hero matchup

Rem Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Vitality item spend by 15:00 was more than 2,560 (37% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Vitality item spend by 15:00 was at most 2,560 (66% win rate across 30 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Healing Rite by 20:00 - 22% good-game rate across 18 matches.

Had Healing Rite by 20:00 - 66% good-game rate across 32 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Stamina Mastery	76%	17 purchases	21:31
Boundless Spirit	73%	22 purchases	28:26
Transcendent Cooldown	72%	14 purchases	29:38
Extra Stamina	70%	20 purchases	10:45
Echo Shard	70%	17 purchases	25:54

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cursed Relic	35%	14 purchases	24:42
Superior Cooldown	43%	21 purchases	28:00
Superior Duration	43%	25 purchases	29:49
Compress Cooldown	45%	24 purchases	17:00
Duration Extender	46%	19 purchases	24:05

Enemy hero matchup

Celeste Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Win pattern: Vitality item spend by 20:00 was more than 7,840 (73% win rate across 26 matches)

Replay comparison

Vitality item spend by 20:00 was at most 7,840 - 28% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Boundless Spirit	84%	12 purchases	25:17
Spirit Lifesteal	73%	15 purchases	15:47
Reactive Barrier	73%	23 purchases	12:15
Extra Health	71%	14 purchases	9:46
Superior Cooldown	67%	29 purchases	18:40

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Silence Wave	47%	13 purchases	17:28
Healing Rite	49%	16 purchases	5:04
Bullet Resilience	53%	13 purchases	23:51
Dispel Magic	53%	13 purchases	17:33
Escalating Exposure	56%	16 purchases	28:48

Enemy hero matchup

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.