supertf Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Drifter - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Lash - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Mina - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

No clear path heroes

No clear item-timing split showed up for these heroes yet, so review item timing and replay context first.

Holliday, Silver, Graves

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Drifter Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Spirit item count by 15:00 was 1 or less (36% win rate across 25 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Spirit item count by 15:00 was more than 1 (64% win rate across 25 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Duration Extender by 20:00 - 42% good-game rate across 32 matches.

Had Duration Extender by 20:00 - 67% good-game rate across 18 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Frenzy	64%	12 purchases	31:56
Duration Extender	63%	30 purchases	19:24
Spirit Snatch	60%	25 purchases	7:33
Bullet Resist Shredder	59%	27 purchases	9:36
Vampiric Burst	59%	22 purchases	28:44

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Enchanter's Emblem	36%	11 purchases	2:37
Stalker	40%	17 purchases	5:29
Fortitude	40%	17 purchases	10:09
Extra Health	46%	19 purchases	7:29
Spirit Resilience	47%	25 purchases	21:09

Enemy hero matchup

Lash Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 10:00 was at most 6,720 (44% win rate across 23 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 10:00 was more than 6,720 (78% win rate across 27 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 18,720 - 28% good-game rate across 20 matches.

Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 18,720 - 67% good-game rate across 30 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Crippling Headshot	93%	14 purchases	29:04
Siphon Bullets	82%	18 purchases	23:26
Mystic Expansion	69%	26 purchases	21:55
Recharging Rush	69%	23 purchases	10:03
Restorative Locket	69%	23 purchases	14:21

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Refresher	0%	11 purchases	33:20
Unstoppable	50%	18 purchases	27:43
Healbane	53%	28 purchases	16:00
Debuff Reducer	54%	13 purchases	26:23
Boundless Spirit	54%	22 purchases	26:35

Enemy hero matchup

Mina Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 40

Main loss pattern: Did not have Toxic Bullets by 15:00 (36% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Had Toxic Bullets by 15:00 (77% win rate across 20 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Ethereal Shift	82%	12 purchases	30:34
Swift Striker	66%	30 purchases	9:29
Rapid Rounds	66%	24 purchases	8:35
Boundless Spirit	65%	30 purchases	27:36
Dispel Magic	62%	33 purchases	13:05

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Shredder Bullets	22%	11 purchases	20:16
Spirit Sap	50%	22 purchases	7:00
Extra Spirit	56%	40 purchases	1:24
Mystic Burst	56%	40 purchases	2:32
Quicksilver Reload	56%	40 purchases	5:28

Enemy hero matchup

These heroes did not produce a clean item-timing split, so use their item lists as softer replay notes.

Holliday Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 25

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Superior Duration	60%	16 purchases	26:58
Counterspell	51%	17 purchases	14:02
Silence Wave	49%	18 purchases	23:14
Alchemical Fire	48%	12 purchases	26:31
Vortex Web	48%	10 purchases	30:05

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Compress Cooldown	30%	15 purchases	18:11
Mystic Burst	38%	26 purchases	2:50
Extra Charge	39%	25 purchases	1:02
Extra Stamina	39%	25 purchases	9:44
Rapid Recharge	39%	25 purchases	7:45

Enemy hero matchup

Silver Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 24

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Warp Stone	56%	12 purchases	25:03
Hunter's Aura	42%	22 purchases	18:36
Melee Lifesteal	40%	23 purchases	3:58
High-Velocity Rounds	39%	18 purchases	11:43
Point Blank	39%	14 purchases	17:21

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Restorative Shot	29%	15 purchases	1:03
Spirit Resilience	34%	19 purchases	24:45
Slowing Bullets	35%	21 purchases	10:28
Close Quarters	35%	21 purchases	6:43
Stamina Mastery	37%	20 purchases	17:33

Enemy hero matchup

Graves Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 29

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Echo Shard	67%	13 purchases	23:49
Mystic Shot	59%	15 purchases	4:08
Boundless Spirit	55%	16 purchases	27:09
Recharging Rush	53%	15 purchases	7:15
Restorative Shot	53%	26 purchases	1:01

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Stamina Mastery	44%	27 purchases	16:15
Arcane Surge	44%	11 purchases	13:02
Toxic Bullets	46%	24 purchases	16:40
Duration Extender	46%	21 purchases	12:30
Extra Stamina	47%	25 purchases	11:10

Enemy hero matchup

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.