Surefour Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Vindicta - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Apollo - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Rem - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Graves - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Lash - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Calico - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Bebop - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Billy - Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

Sinclair - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

No clear path heroes

No clear item-timing split showed up for these heroes yet, so review item timing and replay context first.

Holliday, Venator, The Doorman, Grey Talon, Celeste, Abrams, Drifter, Mina, Paradox, Vyper, Yamato

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Vindicta Item Report

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

All tree branches

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Mercurial Magnum	64%	27	27:16
Titanic Magazine	55%	9	19:53
Bullet Lifesteal	54%	30	17:55
Vampiric Burst	53%	14	29:39
Burst Fire	52%	37	13:51

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Counterspell	30%	25	17:09
Long Range	41%	24	14:44
Fortitude	42%	13	16:34
Extra Health	44%	10	13:38
Extra Charge	44%	50	5:51

Apollo Item Report

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

All tree branches

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Transcendent Cooldown	73%	18	30:58
Superior Cooldown	58%	31	24:11
Escalating Exposure	56%	23	27:01
Compress Cooldown	55%	31	18:30
Spirit Burn	55%	27	28:20

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Cold Front	38%	23	4:49
Mystic Vulnerability	44%	37	7:46
Mystic Expansion	46%	44	6:04
Extra Spirit	49%	43	3:35
Tankbuster	49%	41	22:29

Rem Item Report

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

All tree branches

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Healing Tempo	66%	14	30:07
Cursed Relic	58%	14	28:23
Echo Shard	55%	24	18:40
Divine Barrier	55%	19	27:33
Extra Regen	52%	29	7:06

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Mystic Burst	25%	16	4:59
Knockdown	27%	18	16:11
Extra Spirit	28%	13	6:04
Disarming Hex	29%	14	15:05
Mystic Expansion	32%	18	15:23

Graves Item Report

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

All tree branches

Tree	Branch	Rule	Matches	Rate
Graves replay quality	Review	Did not have Enchanter's Emblem by 15:00	30	37%
Graves replay quality	Good game	Had Enchanter's Emblem by 15:00	20	68%
Win / loss	Better	Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 10:00 was 2 or less	25	57%
Win / loss	Loss	Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 10:00 was more than 2	25	41%

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Inhibitor	63%	17	28:04
Ricochet	62%	20	25:34
Tesla Bullets	61%	17	8:48
Bullet Lifesteal	60%	19	22:18
Toxic Bullets	56%	27	17:51

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Spirit Lifesteal	38%	20	15:18
Extra Spirit	39%	19	17:53
Mystic Shot	39%	12	12:23
Spirit Burn	44%	16	28:16
Boundless Spirit	44%	19	25:43

Lash Item Report

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

All tree branches

Tree	Branch	Rule	Matches	Rate
Lash replay quality	Good game	Did not have Extra Spirit by 20:00	19	88%
Lash replay quality	Review	Had Extra Spirit by 20:00	31	27%
Win / loss	Loss	Weapon item spend by 10:00 was at most 960	29	46%
Win / loss	Better	Weapon item spend by 10:00 was more than 960	21	77%

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Mystic Reverb	75%	15	26:19
Spirit Burn	72%	21	29:11
Superior Cooldown	66%	33	22:28
Dispel Magic	66%	12	20:16
Mystic Shot	62%	24	10:11

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Extra Spirit	49%	32	6:54
Tankbuster	52%	39	20:16
Healbane	56%	28	16:37
Compress Cooldown	57%	38	15:21
Stamina Mastery	58%	48	15:27

Calico Item Report

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

All tree branches

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Escalating Exposure	84%	11	31:13
Tankbuster	68%	16	24:10
Spirit Burn	68%	23	26:48
Mystic Vulnerability	68%	21	25:15
Point Blank	63%	14	8:12

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Dispel Magic	42%	23	17:44
Compress Cooldown	49%	29	19:54
Mystic Shot	50%	20	13:40
Hunter's Aura	50%	13	10:43
Stalker	51%	43	4:11

Bebop Item Report

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

All tree branches

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Rapid Rounds	69%	12	6:41
Bullet Lifesteal	66%	13	17:07
Spirit Resilience	61%	23	18:26
Extra Regen	55%	36	1:50
Extra Stamina	54%	22	7:09

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Sprint Boots	31%	15	9:34
Extra Spirit	39%	26	6:31
Mystic Burst	44%	26	4:00
Improved Spirit	46%	33	8:42
Spirit Snatch	48%	17	15:58

Billy Item Report

Review note: Weapon investment issue: the losing pattern points to heavier early weapon spend.

All tree branches

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Torment Pulse	58%	23	14:34
Spirit Snatch	54%	29	15:06
Stalker	54%	15	4:54
Lifestrike	54%	29	18:58
Spirit Strike	54%	27	11:08

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Cultist Sacrifice	36%	15	9:02
Bullet Lifesteal	41%	14	24:09
Melee Charge	43%	13	22:53
Monster Rounds	44%	19	5:45
Extra Regen	45%	25	1:32

Sinclair Item Report

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

All tree branches

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Compress Cooldown	69%	19	22:05
Mystic Reverb	55%	22	22:17
Superior Cooldown	55%	16	25:23
Improved Spirit	55%	33	9:57
Extra Spirit	54%	27	7:12

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Tankbuster	49%	26	21:52
Boundless Spirit	50%	31	17:22
Rapid Recharge	50%	31	8:25
Mystic Burst	51%	31	5:38
Headshot Booster	52%	22	1:07

Silver Item Report

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

All tree branches

Tree	Branch	Rule	Matches	Rate
Silver replay quality	Review	Did not have Point Blank by 10:00	24	33%
Silver replay quality	Good game	Had Point Blank by 10:00	20	78%
Win / loss	Better	Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was 1 or less	26	52%
Win / loss	Better	Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 15:00 was more than 1	18	76%

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Extra Health	92%	12	9:44
Enduring Speed	84%	14	15:18
Hunter's Aura	71%	19	17:00
High-Velocity Rounds	69%	21	6:41
Express Shot	68%	22	9:11

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Toxic Bullets	37%	16	23:45
Phantom Strike	57%	13	26:33
Dispel Magic	59%	11	18:13
Counterspell	60%	15	25:53
Extra Regen	60%	18	1:08

These heroes did not produce a clean item-timing split, so use their item lists as softer replay notes.

Holliday Item Report

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Boundless Spirit	52%	14	25:50
Alchemical Fire	49%	12	18:10
Superior Cooldown	46%	15	22:06
Superior Duration	44%	16	27:16
Duration Extender	42%	17	22:15

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Compress Cooldown	28%	14	20:36
Dispel Magic	32%	9	21:58
Extra Charge	33%	26	1:37
Recharging Rush	34%	22	14:26
Rapid Recharge	35%	25	7:56

Venator Item Report

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Duration Extender	66%	14	20:46
Silencer	64%	14	27:23
Glass Cannon	55%	30	17:31
Spirit Resilience	51%	22	20:24
Vampiric Burst	49%	17	28:12

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Counterspell	32%	12	22:14
Extra Charge	41%	19	20:50
Monster Rounds	47%	28	3:56
Bullet Lifesteal	47%	28	19:24
Slowing Bullets	47%	30	3:31

The Doorman Item Report

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Rapid Recharge	54%	21	9:20
Boundless Spirit	53%	15	21:59
Tankbuster	51%	16	24:52
Majestic Leap	47%	13	16:05
Extra Charge	47%	26	1:26

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Knockdown	26%	12	16:46
Vortex Web	32%	18	21:18
Superior Cooldown	33%	26	23:56
Transcendent Cooldown	37%	16	30:32
Mystic Expansion	39%	27	8:16

Grey Talon Item Report

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Spirit Burn	72%	13	25:59
Mystic Reverb	65%	14	22:44
Boundless Spirit	52%	24	15:43
Mystic Burst	52%	26	3:56
Tankbuster	52%	24	21:11

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Stamina Mastery	34%	11	22:21
Extra Stamina	38%	16	13:01
Extra Spirit	44%	21	4:34
Recharging Rush	44%	10	13:04
Opening Rounds	45%	10	4:08

Celeste Item Report

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Torment Pulse	64%	16	8:50
Superior Cooldown	61%	17	23:03
Transcendent Cooldown	60%	17	27:42
Escalating Exposure	58%	12	26:07
Spirit Lifesteal	55%	14	13:10

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Mystic Vulnerability	40%	17	16:29
High-Velocity Rounds	40%	16	1:04
Extra Stamina	44%	20	10:58
Spirit Resilience	47%	14	18:55
Stamina Mastery	48%	20	15:41

Abrams Item Report

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Duration Extender	80%	14	15:37
Superior Duration	75%	18	19:25
Sprint Boots	72%	15	12:30
Close Quarters	71%	15	3:48
Enduring Speed	70%	24	14:40

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Kinetic Dash	60%	17	4:34
Extra Regen	67%	20	1:30
Point Blank	69%	14	8:41
Enduring Speed	70%	24	14:40
Close Quarters	71%	15	3:48

Drifter Item Report

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Toxic Bullets	78%	18	18:57
Superior Duration	76%	10	19:16
Stalker	74%	22	3:30
Close Quarters	72%	20	3:32
Extra Health	71%	15	13:02

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Extra Stamina	65%	14	4:53
Rapid Rounds	67%	21	8:09
Kinetic Dash	67%	21	5:28
Point Blank	68%	18	19:10
Fortitude	68%	23	16:20

Mina Item Report

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Quicksilver Reload	73%	17	6:43
Compress Cooldown	68%	17	21:15
Spirit Burn	68%	18	26:25
Boundless Spirit	65%	26	22:24
Dispel Magic	64%	24	15:58

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Swift Striker	41%	14	15:27
Toxic Bullets	54%	23	15:26
Cold Front	57%	12	5:44
Extra Spirit	59%	24	1:15
Superior Cooldown	60%	16	24:10

Paradox Item Report

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Extra Stamina	62%	19	9:08
Headhunter	60%	19	9:01
Headshot Booster	60%	19	1:10
Stamina Mastery	54%	16	15:55

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Stamina Mastery	54%	16	15:55
Headhunter	60%	19	9:01
Headshot Booster	60%	19	1:10
Extra Stamina	62%	19	9:08

Vyper Item Report

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Close Quarters	69%	17	3:37
Mercurial Magnum	65%	18	19:46
Quicksilver Reload	65%	18	13:59
Burst Fire	65%	20	11:53
Rapid Rounds	65%	20	9:03

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Bullet Lifesteal	58%	14	14:05
Extra Spirit	60%	17	3:22
Opening Rounds	64%	11	5:21
Split Shot	64%	11	7:36
Stamina Mastery	64%	11	16:26

Yamato Item Report

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Spirit Snatch	76%	9	19:11
Improved Spirit	62%	27	10:02
Boundless Spirit	62%	23	23:22
Healbane	59%	20	14:52
Extra Spirit	59%	28	5:45

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	#	Time
Torment Pulse	42%	19	12:12
Tankbuster	42%	18	22:15
Superior Cooldown	47%	18	22:25
Mystic Burst	50%	20	8:11
Mystic Shot	54%	32	7:24

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.