Surefour Deadlock Weekly Report

Each hero below has its own review box again. Use the loss patterns as replay topics first, then compare against the stronger pattern before changing the build.

Clear path heroes

Rem - Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Apollo - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Graves - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Vindicta - Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Lash - Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Bebop - Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

No clear path heroes

No clear item-timing split showed up for these heroes yet, so review item timing and replay context first.

Venator, The Doorman, Billy, Grey Talon, Celeste, Abrams, Calico, Drifter, Mina, Silver, Sinclair, Yamato

These heroes have a readable item-timing pattern to compare in replays.

Rem Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Vitality item count by 15:00 was 1 or less (27% win rate across 26 matches)

Review note: Survivability/timing issue: Vitality timing appears tied to the losing pattern.

Better pattern: Vitality item count by 15:00 was more than 1 (63% win rate across 24 matches)

Replay comparison

Did not have Guardian Ward by 20:00 - 65% good-game rate across 26 matches.

Had Guardian Ward by 20:00 - 35% good-game rate across 24 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Healing Tempo	70%	13 purchases	30:22
Cursed Relic	58%	14 purchases	28:23
Divine Barrier	57%	18 purchases	28:00
Extra Regen	56%	29 purchases	7:06
Rapid Recharge	55%	21 purchases	13:02

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Knockdown	27%	18 purchases	16:11
Mystic Burst	30%	17 purchases	5:12
Extra Spirit	30%	13 purchases	7:28
Disarming Hex	32%	13 purchases	15:11
Mystic Expansion	35%	17 purchases	16:48

Enemy hero matchup

Apollo Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 49

Main loss pattern: Had Cold Front by 10:00 (20% win rate across 20 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Did not have Cold Front by 10:00 (62% win rate across 29 matches)

Replay comparison

Item total spend by 15:00 was at most 12,960 - 25% good-game rate across 21 matches.

Item total spend by 15:00 was more than 12,960 - 70% good-game rate across 28 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Transcendent Cooldown	61%	14 purchases	31:15
Escalating Exposure	57%	24 purchases	27:29
Spirit Burn	56%	28 purchases	28:28
Healbane	50%	38 purchases	13:24
Superior Cooldown	49%	29 purchases	25:21

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Cold Front	20%	20 purchases	4:36
Mystic Expansion	38%	40 purchases	6:02
Extra Spirit	42%	42 purchases	3:47
Stamina Mastery	43%	46 purchases	15:30
Tankbuster	44%	39 purchases	22:29

Enemy hero matchup

Graves Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Had Duration Extender by 20:00 (48% win rate across 29 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Did not have Duration Extender by 20:00 (70% win rate across 21 matches)

Replay comparison

Vitality item spend by 15:00 was at most 2,880 - 40% good-game rate across 27 matches.

Vitality item spend by 15:00 was more than 2,880 - 65% good-game rate across 23 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Active Reload	83%	11 purchases	7:48
Slowing Bullets	82%	11 purchases	4:16
Silencer	81%	16 purchases	26:37
Vampiric Burst	76%	13 purchases	25:42
Mystic Slow	73%	11 purchases	17:22

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Spirit Lifesteal	46%	15 purchases	16:36
Boundless Spirit	46%	17 purchases	22:23
Arcane Surge	47%	21 purchases	4:15
Compress Cooldown	51%	23 purchases	9:00
Duration Extender	51%	31 purchases	8:36

Enemy hero matchup

Vindicta Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 20:00 was 3 or less (10% win rate across 18 matches)

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Better pattern: Tier 2 (1,600 Souls) item count by 20:00 was more than 3 (60% win rate across 32 matches)

Replay comparison

Spirit item spend by 15:00 was at most 7,040 - 35% good-game rate across 32 matches.

Spirit item spend by 15:00 was more than 7,040 - 78% good-game rate across 18 matches.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mercurial Magnum	68%	18 purchases	26:51
Bullet Lifesteal	59%	25 purchases	16:23
Burst Fire	56%	23 purchases	12:15
High-Velocity Rounds	56%	23 purchases	1:04
Sharpshooter	54%	15 purchases	15:34

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mystic Vulnerability	33%	17 purchases	24:57
Counterspell	34%	24 purchases	17:06
Escalating Exposure	36%	16 purchases	27:44
Extra Charge	40%	48 purchases	5:37
Rapid Recharge	42%	50 purchases	8:29

Enemy hero matchup

Lash Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Had Extra Spirit by 20:00 (50% win rate across 32 matches)

Review note: Spirit path issue: review whether Spirit buying reached a real power spike or became scattered.

Better pattern: Did not have Extra Spirit by 20:00 (86% win rate across 18 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mystic Reverb	75%	15 purchases	26:19
Spirit Burn	73%	22 purchases	28:38
Superior Cooldown	68%	34 purchases	22:34
Headhunter	67%	32 purchases	11:34
Transcendent Cooldown	66%	13 purchases	30:27

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Spirit	50%	32 purchases	6:54
Tankbuster	56%	39 purchases	20:10
Healbane	56%	28 purchases	16:37
Improved Spirit	59%	46 purchases	7:17
Stamina Mastery	61%	47 purchases	15:31

Enemy hero matchup

Bebop Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 50

Main loss pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was at most 17,920 (32% win rate across 21 matches)

Review note: Economy/item tempo issue: the pattern is defined by lower total spend at a key midgame timing.

Better pattern: Item total spend by 20:00 was more than 17,920 (68% win rate across 29 matches)

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Bullet Lifesteal	70%	11 purchases	17:07
Spirit Strike	68%	16 purchases	6:43
Rapid Rounds	61%	10 purchases	6:28
Superior Cooldown	60%	20 purchases	26:07
Spirit Lifesteal	57%	14 purchases	19:57

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Spirit	43%	30 purchases	6:31
Enduring Speed	45%	16 purchases	13:51
Echo Shard	45%	17 purchases	18:31
Mystic Burst	48%	27 purchases	4:03
Mystic Expansion	51%	34 purchases	5:14

Enemy hero matchup

These heroes did not produce a clean item-timing split, so use their item lists as softer replay notes.

Venator Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 34

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Silencer	71%	13 purchases	27:17
Duration Extender	66%	14 purchases	20:46
Glass Cannon	55%	30 purchases	17:31
Spirit Resilience	54%	21 purchases	20:04
Cultist Sacrifice	51%	26 purchases	8:34

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Charge	44%	18 purchases	20:53
Vampiric Burst	49%	17 purchases	28:12
Monster Rounds	49%	27 purchases	3:59
Slowing Bullets	50%	29 purchases	3:30
Bullet Lifesteal	50%	27 purchases	19:14

Enemy hero matchup

The Doorman Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 29

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Rapid Recharge	54%	21 purchases	9:20
Boundless Spirit	53%	15 purchases	21:59
Tankbuster	51%	16 purchases	24:52
Majestic Leap	47%	13 purchases	16:05
Extra Charge	47%	26 purchases	1:26

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Knockdown	26%	12 purchases	16:46
Vortex Web	32%	18 purchases	21:18
Superior Cooldown	33%	26 purchases	23:56
Transcendent Cooldown	37%	16 purchases	30:32
Mystic Expansion	39%	27 purchases	8:16

Enemy hero matchup

Billy Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 33

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Torment Pulse	56%	22 purchases	14:33
Lifestrike	52%	28 purchases	18:56
Sprint Boots	50%	16 purchases	15:39
Spirit Snatch	49%	25 purchases	14:37
Spirit Strike	48%	23 purchases	11:08

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Monster Rounds	36%	14 purchases	5:16
Enduring Speed	39%	23 purchases	16:47
Plated Armor	39%	13 purchases	26:46
Close Quarters	43%	31 purchases	3:09
Point Blank	43%	29 purchases	9:21

Enemy hero matchup

Grey Talon Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 21

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Boundless Spirit	54%	14 purchases	13:39
Mystic Burst	54%	16 purchases	3:29
Tankbuster	53%	14 purchases	23:20
Compress Cooldown	47%	14 purchases	13:20
Extra Charge	47%	16 purchases	3:29

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Extra Spirit	44%	14 purchases	3:59
Extra Charge	47%	16 purchases	3:29
Improved Spirit	47%	16 purchases	6:52
Rapid Recharge	47%	16 purchases	9:01
Compress Cooldown	47%	14 purchases	13:20

Enemy hero matchup

Celeste Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 21

Review note: Item timing/build path issue: review this pattern in replays before treating it as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Escalating Exposure	66%	11 purchases	25:33
Torment Pulse	64%	16 purchases	8:50
Superior Cooldown	61%	17 purchases	23:03
Transcendent Cooldown	60%	17 purchases	27:42
Compress Cooldown	60%	12 purchases	20:20

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Mystic Vulnerability	48%	15 purchases	16:31
High-Velocity Rounds	49%	14 purchases	1:04
Improved Spirit	49%	17 purchases	10:52
Extra Regen	50%	14 purchases	1:40
Extra Stamina	52%	18 purchases	10:58

Enemy hero matchup

Abrams Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 24

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Close Quarters	79%	14 purchases	3:45
Point Blank	78%	13 purchases	8:40
Duration Extender	78%	13 purchases	15:26
Superior Duration	72%	17 purchases	19:21
Extra Regen	70%	18 purchases	1:36

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Kinetic Dash	66%	16 purchases	4:32
Enduring Speed	68%	23 purchases	14:27
Sprint Boots	69%	14 purchases	12:05
Extra Regen	70%	18 purchases	1:36
Superior Duration	72%	17 purchases	19:21

Enemy hero matchup

Calico Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 32

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Arctic Blast	70%	14 purchases	23:14
Mystic Vulnerability	68%	13 purchases	24:46
Sprint Boots	63%	19 purchases	11:51
Tankbuster	63%	15 purchases	22:54
Point Blank	62%	16 purchases	8:06

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Enduring Speed	52%	29 purchases	13:44
Cold Front	53%	27 purchases	7:31
Torment Pulse	53%	27 purchases	12:22
Spirit Snatch	54%	21 purchases	13:35
Compress Cooldown	54%	15 purchases	18:00

Enemy hero matchup

Drifter Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 22

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Toxic Bullets	83%	15 purchases	19:54
Fortitude	76%	19 purchases	17:00
Stalker	76%	19 purchases	3:28
Close Quarters	72%	20 purchases	3:32
Burst Fire	72%	17 purchases	19:12

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Enduring Speed	61%	16 purchases	10:31
Bullet Resist Shredder	63%	14 purchases	11:46
Spirit Snatch	63%	14 purchases	13:56
Hunter's Aura	67%	15 purchases	17:56
Rapid Rounds	68%	18 purchases	7:41

Enemy hero matchup

Mina Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 24

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Quicksilver Reload	64%	15 purchases	6:43
Tankbuster	61%	22 purchases	17:24
Boundless Spirit	60%	22 purchases	22:33
Dispel Magic	59%	20 purchases	17:01
Spirit Burn	57%	15 purchases	27:34

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Swift Striker	39%	12 purchases	15:27
Superior Cooldown	46%	14 purchases	24:38
Extra Stamina	52%	19 purchases	9:14
Extra Spirit	52%	20 purchases	1:53
Mystic Burst	54%	23 purchases	4:36

Enemy hero matchup

Silver Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 30

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
High-Velocity Rounds	69%	11 purchases	8:36
Extra Regen	66%	17 purchases	1:08
Silencer	66%	14 purchases	21:17
Slowing Bullets	61%	29 purchases	4:03
Melee Lifesteal	60%	23 purchases	6:18

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Toxic Bullets	37%	16 purchases	23:45
Spirit Resilience	50%	19 purchases	21:15
Extra Stamina	56%	26 purchases	9:12
Stamina Mastery	56%	26 purchases	16:11
Lifestrike	57%	22 purchases	13:28

Enemy hero matchup

Sinclair Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 34

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Compress Cooldown	69%	19 purchases	22:05
Sprint Boots	56%	20 purchases	14:31
Enduring Speed	55%	24 purchases	16:03
Mystic Reverb	54%	20 purchases	22:17
Improved Spirit	54%	31 purchases	9:57

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Tankbuster	47%	24 purchases	21:52
Boundless Spirit	49%	29 purchases	17:22
Rapid Recharge	49%	29 purchases	8:08
Mystic Burst	50%	29 purchases	5:55
Superior Cooldown	50%	15 purchases	24:44

Enemy hero matchup

Yamato Item and Matchup Report

Matches tested: 24

Review note: Review this hero in replays before treating any pattern as causal.

Pattern note: No clear item-timing split showed up for this hero, so this box leans on item timing instead of a main pattern.

Items that looked strong

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Boundless Spirit	62%	18 purchases	22:33
Compress Cooldown	62%	14 purchases	19:05
Improved Spirit	54%	19 purchases	8:09
Extra Spirit	53%	19 purchases	4:54
Superior Cooldown	50%	16 purchases	22:25

Items to watch carefully

Item	Win rate	Purchases	Median purchase time
Torment Pulse	44%	17 purchases	10:49
Mystic Shot	50%	22 purchases	6:44
Superior Cooldown	50%	16 purchases	22:25
Extra Spirit	53%	19 purchases	4:54
Improved Spirit	54%	19 purchases	8:09

Enemy hero matchup

Use these hero boxes as replay checklists. The patterns are signals, not proof: compare the losing pattern games against the stronger pattern games before changing the whole build. Treat items listed under watch carefully as possible already-hard-game buys before treating them as the cause.